The Gulf and Florida Face a Renewed Threat
The Hurricane Outlook according to AccuWeather.com was “Just a breather last year”. This year, the Gulf and Florida face a renewed threat and will see more powerful storms across the board.As for the Northeast, Bastardi’s 2006 Forecast still holds: the region is likely to be the target of storm strikes over the next 10 years. “Last year the Northeast may have dodged a bullet, but unfortunately you can only be lucky for so long. We are in a pattern similar to that of the late 1930s through the 1940s, when the Northeast was hit by two major storms.”
Bastardi instead points to the pattern of Atlantic Ocean water temperatures as a leading factor in determining the power of a hurricane season, as well as the overall cyclical trend of more extreme weather across the U.S. Specifically, he points to the recent hot, dry summers in the West and Plains as a precursor to increased Atlantic Basin hurricane intensity, one of the patterns identified by his comparative research of previous seasons.
We are living in a time of climatic hardship. We are in a cycle where weather extremes are more the norm and not the exception. One of the ways this manifests itself is in the intensity of hurricanes and tropical storms. Because the overall pattern shows no sign of reversing in the near term.
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